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Evolution of quantum technology in the present era and its future

خلاصه رصد اکوسیستم فناوری کوانتومی در سال ۲۰۲۳

In the current world and in the current decade, which is known as the quantum decade, new aspects of science and technology are being introduced to everyone. In other words, quantum knowledge will start another revolution, which is very different and more transformative than the revolution created in the early 20th century. Now, quantum knowledge has reached a stage where it is advancing towards the creation of technology. So far, quantum technology has been divided into three main parts: quantum communication, quantum sensing and quantum computing, and products have also been introduced to the market.

There has been tremendous interest in quantum technology, which is reflected in global statistics. With the current trend, it is estimated that by 2040 quantum technology will see a market size of 106 billion dollars. To complete the chain and ecosystem of such a market, it will be necessary to create and grow 350 successful startups. In this statistic, there are companies that operate alone in two or more fields of technology at the same time. A major share of this market belongs to quantum computing technology, which accounts for between 9 and 93 million dollars. By the end of 2022, the amount of investment in various sectors of quantum computing technology has reached 5.4 billion dollars, which is the result of the creation of 223 startups.

Such statistics and estimates also exist in quantum communication technology, but their contribution is at best one-ninth of the amount seen in quantum computing. The size of the quantum communication market is predicted to be around 1-7 billion dollars by 2040. By the end of 2022, the amount of investment in various sectors of quantum communication technology has reached 1 billion dollars, and 72 companies have been developed in this ecosystem.

Statistics and estimates in quantum sensing technology also show at best one-ninth the amount of quantum computing. The size of the quantum communication market is predicted to be around 1-6 billion dollars by 2040. By the end of 2022, the amount of investment in various sectors of quantum sensing technology has reached 0.4 billion dollars, and 23 companies have been developed in this ecosystem.

In the investments made, a major share is made by private investors, so that according to official announcements, the public sector has injected 34 billion dollars into this ecosystem.

In examining the future market in the field of quantum computing until 2035, the potential economic value of quantum computing is estimated at least between 620 and 1270 billion dollars. In between, the four industries of chemistry, biological and life sciences, finance and economics, and transportation have the highest share. Economic value is defined as excess revenue and saved cost, which the application of quantum computing can unlock. These four industries are most likely to realize this value sooner than other industries, so they are more deeply investigated and considered.

So far, it has reached 50 graduate level curricula to develop skills that are quantum-capable (capable of application to quantum technology fields). 180 universities have research groups in the field of quantum technology. In 2022, the number of research grants in fields related to quantum technology reached 1,589, and 44,155 articles were published this year.

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